By Richard Rushfield, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

Who is going to make it? Who's going home? Here's a tip sheet based on the March 11 performances.

CONTESTANT: David Archuleta

RANK THIS WEEK: 1

RANK LAST WEEK: 1

THE SHPIEL: The Chosen One

CORE VOTING BLOCK(S): Every 9-year-old girl in America, a million times, and their grandmothers.

MARCH 11 NOTES: The prodigy took a stunning dive this week, sending shock waves through the competition. May create sympathy vote, however, and show glimpses of humanity to ward off too-early high expectations. Unshakable hold on the 7-to-12 demo makes him the one to beat.

LIKELIHOOD OF EXITING THIS WEEK: None

(Fox)